So as these polls have become less reliable because people aren’t picking up their phones because we haven’t fixed the spam calls problem, the people who had been using polls as a way of guiding elections coverage just looked to something else. And that something else was prediction markets.
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Великобритания собралась защитить свою военную базу от Ирана14:46
For Palantir, that sequence of events is not an abstraction—it is a direct operational threat. Palantir’s flagship AI Platform (AIP) relies on plugging best-in-class frontier models into its defense and intelligence workflows. Claude Opus is among the most capable of those models, prized for its reasoning depth and reliability in high-stakes environments. If Anthropic is blacklisted as a military supply chain risk—or if its terms of service effectively bar it from the classified settings where Palantir operates—Palantir would lose access to one of its most powerful AI engines. It would be forced to retool its platform around alternative models mid-contract, a costly and reputationally damaging disruption for a company whose entire brand promise is mission-critical reliability.
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At the other extreme: if you’re coding for a space probe on a 50-year mission, almost all errors are expected, including catastrophic hardware failures.，更多细节参见PDF资料
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